Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 8.817270 10.058959 11.418302 13.017795 14.849627 16.883511 19.315154
2026-01-11 7.305746 8.973710 10.941932 13.439379 16.529569 20.235132 25.027230
2026-01-18 6.107937 7.903812 10.138303 13.129655 17.040700 21.996083 28.776643
2026-01-25 5.285798 7.138561 9.546351 12.915181 17.525013 23.638512 32.405995
2026-02-01 4.655419 6.523964 9.045504 12.711402 17.930680 25.133738 35.897513
2026-02-08 4.145671 6.004251 8.598114 12.500810 18.258406 26.494039 39.265626
2026-02-15 3.723426 5.556734 8.194843 12.290346 18.532058 27.757811 42.560312
2026-02-22 3.558441 5.463378 8.285256 12.798319 19.892594 30.711598 48.644660
2026-03-01 3.337361 5.260054 8.185671 12.995399 20.776324 32.992562 53.865126
2026-03-08 3.086325 4.984505 7.945882 12.941219 21.242262 34.634647 58.177076
2026-03-15 2.853903 4.716377 7.691352 12.833125 21.597433 36.106858 62.311783
2026-03-22 2.751660 4.650919 7.755497 13.250780 22.854466 39.162332 69.410754
2026-03-29 2.630208 4.545434 7.748263 13.552746 23.950709 42.057515 76.543759
2026-04-05 2.540348 4.485981 7.812640 13.981798 25.303083 45.509182 85.005161
2026-04-12 2.336130 4.207788 7.473710 13.659503 25.266135 46.456514 88.879532
2026-04-19 2.167279 3.979020 7.203182 13.436081 25.385609 47.687609 93.387525
2026-04-26 2.015926 3.769969 6.951209 13.223814 25.502382 48.912045 97.976629
2026-05-03 1.877300 3.573655 6.707082 13.004455 25.582223 50.062377 102.506338
2026-05-10 1.750827 3.390615 6.473622 12.785234 25.639909 51.165197 107.024392
2026-05-17 1.726151 3.402861 6.613678 13.314351 27.241255 55.478439 118.659056
2026-05-24 1.664295 3.336572 6.594959 13.519641 28.191747 58.534492 127.873725
2026-05-31 1.577759 3.213987 6.455113 13.463204 28.586522 60.457914 134.771672
2026-06-07 1.491713 3.086022 6.294925 13.350606 28.849740 62.117285 141.221095